XRP technicals flash bottom signals as bulls fight for $1.30

• Technical indicators for XRP are showing signs of a potential market bottom after an eight-month downward trend.
• The price must maintain the critical support level between $1.27 and $1.30 to avoid a significant further decline.
• Historically similar patterns in the RSI and MACD indicators have previously resulted in price rallies ranging from 74% to 230%.

Technical Indicators Signal Market Bottom

XRP is currently trading around $1.35, with several metrics suggesting that the bearish momentum may be exhausting. The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) hit an oversold level of 29 on March 2, a figure that often precedes a price reversal. Since then, the RSI has recovered slightly to 34.

Simultaneously, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has reached its lowest recorded level. Analysts are closely watching for a bullish cross on the MACD, as previous occurrences aligned with oversold RSI levels have historically marked major price bottoms for XRP against the US Dollar.

Critical Support Levels and Whale Activity

Market experts emphasize the importance of the $1.27 to $1.30 price range. This zone is considered a "sensitive level" where the market is likely to decide its next major direction. Data regarding cost basis distribution shows that approximately 500 million XRP were purchased at this price point, reinforcing its role as a strong support wall.

If this level fails to hold, the next defensive lines include:

• The $1.15 to $1.12 demand zone, which aligns with the 200-week simple moving average.
• A potential drop to $0.80, which represents the target of a bear flag pattern, signaling a 42% decline from current prices.

Performance Against Bitcoin and Long-Term Outlook

XRP is also showing signs of stabilization in its ratio against Bitcoin (XRP/BTC). The pair is currently at the bottom of a long-term consolidation range but has recently printed a higher high on the daily chart. A similar bottoming process occurred in June 2025, which led to a 56% increase in the XRP/BTC ratio and pushed the price of XRP toward $3.66.

On-chain data further supports a bullish long-term outlook. Reports indicate significant whale accumulation and high volumes of XRP being moved off exchanges, suggesting that large-scale investors are moving their assets into private storage in anticipation of future gains.